Weber State
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
62  John Coyle SR 31:37
269  Trevor Ricks SO 32:22
283  Mike Hardy JR 32:25
358  Jason Nance JR 32:35
796  Thomas Worob SO 33:28
1,185  Tyler Robinson SO 34:02
1,688  Brett Lechtenberg JR 34:45
National Rank #48 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #7 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.2%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 35.2%
Top 10 in Regional 95.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating John Coyle Trevor Ricks Mike Hardy Jason Nance Thomas Worob Tyler Robinson Brett Lechtenberg
Roy Griak Invitational 09/29 780 31:23 32:08 32:36 32:45 34:04 34:54 34:47
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 867 31:57 32:32 32:07 33:27 33:50 34:32 34:34
Big Sky Championships 10/27 739 31:36 32:55 32:07 32:18 32:51 33:35 34:46
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 724 31:35 32:04 33:02 32:02 33:05 33:21 34:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.2% 27.2 628 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2
Region Championship 100% 6.6 213 1.5 33.7 24.6 14.2 10.1 6.8 4.8 2.8 1.1 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
John Coyle 70.7% 65.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5
Trevor Ricks 1.3% 142.5
Mike Hardy 1.3% 143.0
Jason Nance 1.2% 169.5
Thomas Worob 1.2% 243.8
Tyler Robinson 1.2% 250.3
Brett Lechtenberg 1.4% 252.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
John Coyle 11.9 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.6 5.2 6.4 7.2 7.3 7.6 6.8 5.8 5.1 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5 2.9 2.4 2.5 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.3
Trevor Ricks 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.7 2.5
Mike Hardy 37.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.6 1.8
Jason Nance 43.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3
Thomas Worob 73.0
Tyler Robinson 91.4
Brett Lechtenberg 106.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 1.5% 80.3% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 4
5 33.7% 33.7 5
6 24.6% 24.6 6
7 14.2% 14.2 7
8 10.1% 10.1 8
9 6.8% 6.8 9
10 4.8% 4.8 10
11 2.8% 2.8 11
12 1.1% 1.1 12
13 0.3% 0.3 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 1.2% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.8 0.0 1.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Lehigh 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0